Which groundhog is more accurate

If not, it portends an early spring. But as it turns out, Phil is not the only furry authority when it comes to foreseeing the weather. Since very few groundhogs are as well-monitored as Phil when it comes to historical predictions, we decided to grade all 16 based on their outlook, in which the groundhog pantheon was evenly split between eight who saw their shadow and eight who did not.

In , Unadilla Bill was the most accurate of all the groundhogs. Click or tap a groundhog to see the respective territory. Conveniently, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration tracks the daily temperature of , weather stations, of which 2, are within miles of a groundhog seer and have sufficient data from to track the temperatures between Groundhog Day and March 15, which is six weeks later.

But how does one define when spring arrived? This gives us a way to accurately measure what season every day felt like at each of the stations. Chuck's prognostication was suspiciously made in a pre-taped Staten Island Zoo video, outraging Live Groundhog Performance Enthusiasts.

The virtual ceremony did keep everyone safe. One of his predecessors was fatally dropped by Mayor Bill de Blasio , and former Mayor Michael Bloomberg once called another incarnation of Chuck a " little son of a bitch " So how much can we trust groundhogs to tell us whether we'll freezing or celebrating outdoor dining in balmy degree weather?

It turns out Staten Island Chuck is, on the whole, more reliable than Phil of Punxsutawny, if you look at the past years data:. You may notice some incomplete data in the '90s, to which Jake Dobkin suggested an anti-groundhog conspiracy. Feb 2, PM. The statistics suggest that you probably shouldn't delay that spring cleaning based on Punxsutawney Phil's forecast. Then again, what do you expect? Phil is a groundhog, after all.

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